2013 - Voting Analysis

As explained here, there's been a change to the way that the jury vote and the televote are combined when working out the scores awarded by each country. As per recent tradition, the overall average placings from juries and televotes have been released by [Eurovision], and here follows a quick analysis of the data.

The following table gives the position on the night for each country, followed by:
Jury: the position as determined by an average of every jury's song rankings.
Tele: the position as determined by an average of every televote's song rankings.
Σ: the position as determined by these two scores combined: slightly different to the actual ranking which only collated the (weighted) top 10s from each nation.
Δ: the number of places difference between the jury and televote rankings, +ve in favour of the televote.
JΔΣ: the difference between the jury vote and the combined jury and televote placings, +ve in favour of the combined vote.
TΔΣ: the difference between the televote and the combined jury and televote placings, +ve in favour of the combined vote.
AV: the placings given by the AView jury (top 10 only).
JΔ: the difference between our vote and the jury vote, +ve in favour of our vote.
TΔ: the difference between our vote and the televote, +ve in favour of our vote.
ΣΔ: the difference between our vote and the combined placings, +ve in favour of our vote.

Click on the table headers to sort the columns:

Pos.
NATION
Jury
Tele
Σ Δ

JΔΣ TΔΣ
AV
JΔ
TΔ
ΣΔ
1 Denmark 1 1 1 0
0 0




2 Azerbaijan 2 3 2 -1
0 -1
5 -3 -2 -3
3 Ukraine 6 2 3 4
-3 1




4 Norway 4 6 4 -2
0 -2
2 2 4 2
5 Russia 10 5 5 5
-5 0




6 Greece 14 4 6 10
-8 2
1 13 3 5
7 Italy 8 10 9 -2
1 -1




8 Malta 9 9 7 0
-2 -2




9 Netherlands 7 10 8 -3
1 -2
7 0 3 1
10 Hungary 21 8 10 13
-11 2
6 15 2 4
11 Moldova 5 19 12 -14
7 -7
9 -4 10 3
12 Belgium 11 17 14 -6
3 -3




13 Romania 24 7 13 17
-11 6
4 20 3 9
14 Sweden 3 18 11 -15
8 -7




15 Georgia 13 23 16 -10
3 -7
8 5 15 8
16 Belarus 22 13 19 9
-3 6
3 19 10 16
17 Iceland 17 12 15 5
-2 3




18 Armenia 19 15 18 4
-1 3




19 UK 15 22 17 -7
2 -5




20 Estonia 16 24 24 -8
8 0




21 Germany 20 16 22 4
2 6




22 Lithuania 25 21 25 4
0 4




23 France 12 25 23 -13
11 -2




24 Finland 18 20 20 -2
2 0




25 Spain 26 26 26 0
0 0




26 Ireland 23 14 21 9
-2 7
10 13 4 11

The entry that caused biggest disagreement was Romania's helium vampire, which we and the public loved (4th place and 7th place respectively), but which the juries hated (a shocking 24th out of 26). Hungary and Greece were similarly under-ranked by the jurors. At the opposite end of the taste spectrum, the juries had a greater love for Sweden, Moldova and France than did the televoters (in the case of Moldova we have more sympathy with the jurors' cause). There was unanimity between jury and public that Denmark should win and Spain should come last, which is perhaps a little surprising. But we noted in the aforelinked box that the new voting system rewards consistency and penalises any controversy of taste, so presumably Denmark was broadly considered decent and Spain broadly considered rubbish, while their neighbours excited a little more difference of opinion.

France, that most totemic of Old Europe nations in Eurovision, stands to win most from an all-jury vote. Hungary and Romania (two points of interest in this year's contest) would suffer from such a regressive step: such is the tyranny of Tony Blackburn and his ilk.

Ireland and Belarus (both in our top 10) would be the biggest beneficiaries were the jurors taken out and made to use their telephones with the rest of us. Germany would also fare better, contrary to the tabloid depiction that Europe voted to punish its paymasters this year. Russia, at the centre of the Azerbaijani controversy, still come fifth in the public vote, though the jury vote would drop them to tenth (you would think that if a state wanted to send the right signals to the gasman, it would nobble its jury rather than rely on the plebiscite, so there's another bit of idle journalism called into doubt slightly). The losers in an all-public vote would be Sweden, Moldova and Georgia, the latter pair of which were making up the numbers in the AView top 10. Everything totted together, though, our ranking was 56 places out from the televote, 62 places off from the combined vote, and a whopping 79 places askew of the juries. On the basis of this contest, we are more in tune with the texting public than we are with the great and not-so-good of the industry.

Of course, the same discrepancies have particularly crucial consequences in the semi-finals, but we don't do the semi-finals. The semi-finals is cheating...