| Pos. |
NATION |
Jury |
Tele |
Σ | Δ |
JΔΣ | TΔΣ | AV |
JΔ |
TΔ |
ΣΔ |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3 | -4 | -4 | ||
| 2 | Netherlands | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 1 | ||||||
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | Armenia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | ||||||
| 5 | Hungary | 4 | 9 | 5 | -5 | -1 | 4 | ||||||
| 6 | Ukraine | 12 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 7 | Russia | 19 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 5 | -6 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 13 | ||
| 8 | Norway | 9 | 12 | 7 | -3 | 2 | 5 | ||||||
| 9 | Spain | 10 | 13 | 9 | -3 | 1 | 4 | ||||||
| 10 | Denmark | 11 | 15 | 11 | -4 | 1 | 5 | ||||||
| 11 | Romania | 16 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | ||||||
| 12 | Finland | 6 | 16 | 8 | -10 | -2 | 8 | ||||||
| 13 | Switzerland | 20 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 10 | -4 | ||||||
| 14 | Poland | 24 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 9 | -10 | 6 | 18 | -1 | 9 | ||
| 15 | Iceland | 15 | 17 | 17 | -2 | -2 | 0 | ||||||
| 16 | Belarus | 21 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 0 | -7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 14 | ||
| 17 | UK | 13 | 18 | 16 | -5 | -3 | 2 | ||||||
| 18 | Germany | 14 | 19 | 19 | -5 | -4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 9 | ||
| 19 | Montenegro | 18 | 25 | 23 | -7 | -5 | 2 | ||||||
| 20 | Greece | 22 | 11 | 18 | 11 | 4 | -7 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 8 | ||
| 21 | Azerbaijan | 7 | 26 | 20 | -19 | -11 | 8 | ||||||
| 22 | Italy | 23 | 22 | 24 | 1 | -1 | -2 | 2 | 21 | 20 | 22 | ||
| 23 | Malta | 5 | 21 | 13 | -16 | -5 | 11 | ||||||
| 24 | San Marino |
26 | 20 | 25 | 6 | 1 | -5 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 22 | ||
| 25 | Slovenia | 17 | 23 | 22 | -6 | -5 | 1 | ||||||
| 26 | France | 25 | 24 | 26 | 1 | -1 | -2 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
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There was minor controversy
when the
split votes revealed that the UK televote had put Poland first but the
jurors had put them last giving them a combined placing of 11th: nul
points (on the AView jury we avoid such extremes as this by using
points weightings rather than placings). The UK jurors had the folksy
cheese of Malta first, though no single juror felt that it was the best
song (they went for Austria, Netherlands, Spain, Finland and Sweden
respectfully). The UK jurors had the fifth greatest standard deviation
of all the national juries (μJσ): an average deviation of 5.2 places;
the
most devious jury was Macedonia at 5.94 places, and the most harmonious
were Georgia whose jury vote was barred for having an identical top
eight placings across the board. Azerbaijan had the lowest
permitted deviation at 0.94 places.
Sweden had the greatest harmony between jury vote and televote (μJΔT), with an average difference in placing of less than four votes. Montenegro is the country most in need of a Eurovision revolt with the jury being over 9 places awry of popular sentiment. Austria's jury were the most consistent with the final overall placings (μJΔP) and Albania's were the most aberrant. The voting public of Belgium, Finland and Latvia are the most representative of Europe as a whole (μTΔP), while Georgia's are the most individual (just like their writing). Comparing each nation's combined vote with the overall picture (μΣΔP), Greece are the most consistent, and Albania (again) the most whacky. More importantly, the Azerbaijani jurors were the closest national jury to our own AView voting preferences (μJΔA) and we have little time for Latvia's great and good. The burghers of Belarus and Moldova give the closest televote to our opinions (μTΔA) and Denmark are just wrong! (Note, the smaller numbers for the last two columns in the table (right) are down to our jury only placing the top 10 songs (everything else was placed 11th for mathematical purposes (both for us and the national votes)). The Belarusian and Moldovan televotes are actually the closest votes of any kind to our placings. Maria Sinatsaki of Greece was the closest juror to our tastes: she's an '80s-born DJ and TV presenter, and her placings were an average of 2 places out from ours. The Latvian jury had four of the ten most disagreeable totals of the year, with Edgars Belickis (an '80s-born composer, producer, transcriber and saxophonist) playing our nemesis at four and a quarter places removed. Our views were more in tune with the televotes than the juries (JΔ - we differed by 86 places in total): Poland and Greece were our most matched placings against the overall phone vote (out by one), while the Italian entry was grossly under-rated by public and jurors combined. The jurors were broadly right about Austria but little else (TΔ - we had a total aberration of 139 places). This follows the pattern set last year, where the televote was more "correct" than the jury vote. However, our aberration from this year's combined placings (ΣΔ) was twice the size of 2013: an obscene 121 places out. Italy and San Mario were the most overlooked acts this year, and all of our selections except Austria performed lower in real life than we felt they deserved. Back to the Polish question, then. It must be pointed out that the disparity between jury and televote was not limited to just the UK: were one to remove all juries and just rely on the mob, Poland would've come 5th, not 15th. There was a 19 point gulf between the public and the panel (Δ). An equally large disagreement in the other direction concerned Azerbaijan's Kate Bush balladry (make of that what you will). Austria won the televote, but the Radio 2 -friendly, Sting-tinged country-schmaltz of the Netherlands edged the jury tally. It's worth pointing out, for completion's sake, that Austria came third in both the UK jury and UK phone vote (with consistency enough to be placed first in the combined vote). All of this is reminder again that the current scoring system penalises songs that divide opinion, and potentially rewards mediocrity as a consequence. Or perhaps it's protection against mucky tripe and the expat effect. Place your votes now. |
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